Risk of Acquiring Type II Diabetes

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Rauschenbach, Anthony
Tom, Zachary

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2014-05-11

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Journal Article

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Abstract

The goal of our project is to determine an individual's risk of acquiring Type II Diabetes. There are many factors that contribute to an individual developing Type II Diabetes. These factors include obesity, family history, unhealthy diet, exercise, and blood pressure. Our challenge was to determine how influential each of these factors are in causing diabetes. To find the weight of each factor, we contacted 6 physicians through a survey, asking them to weigh the relative influence of our predetermined factors and sub?factors on a scale from 1?10. Using fuzzy math techniques, we calculated several models for determining an individual's risk based on the factors ranked by our expert opinions. These numerical values were used to formulate our equations, using the methods of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Yen, and Guiasu. From a surveyed group of patients, we received the data for each risk factor of each patient. This data had to be normalized because for factors such as obesity, The BMI had to be a number from 0 to 1, which we determined based on set BMI ranges. The fuzzy mathematical model we used combined our normalized data with the expert opinion to give a numerical value from 0 to 1, the risk factor G. With these G values, we ranked our patients based on their risk for acquiring Type II Diabetes. (Key Words Type II Diabetes, Obesity, Family History, Unhealthy Diet, Exercise, Blood Pressure, Fuzzy Math.)

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Creighton University

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