A Network Approach to Nuclear Deterrence

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Goodman_Carly_Thesis2012.pdf (6.69 MB)

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Goodman, Carly A.

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2012-07

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Thesis

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en_US

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This paper expands upon current deterrence literature by utilizing network analysis to represent deterrence relations based on the possession of nuclear weapons between states in the international system instead of traditional game theoretical models. Four networks are created representing ties of influence on states in the international system based on the four dimensions of DIME (Diplomacy, Information, Military, and Economics). Core states in each network are identified through degree centrality. Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) test the propensity to form ties of nuclear influence based on three dimensions of DIME (DIE) and controlling for structural factors. Initial results suggest that DIE do not play a significant role in affecting a state’s nuclear ties in the international system. The paper concludes that there still exists the need for further validation of these results with additional covariates or network models.

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Creighton University

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Copyright is retained by the Author. A non-exclusive distribution right is granted to Creighton University and to ProQuest following the publishing model selected above.
Copyright is retained by the Author. A non-exclusive distribution right is granted to Creighton University and to ProQuest following the publishing model selected above.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10504/35662

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Goodman_Carly_Thesis2012.pdf

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Creighton Theses and Dissertations